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(en) Italy, UCADI #201 - PUTIN'S POISONED GIFT TO THE EU (ca, de, fr, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

Date Fri, 5 Dec 2025 07:36:19 +0200


In his statements on Ukraine, Putin, after initially rejecting the possibility of joining NATO and the EU, now seems to believe he has no objection to Ukraine's accession to the EU; indeed, he almost seems to hope it will happen. The reasons for such openness lie in the effects that Ukraine's accession to the EU would have, impoverishing it economically, forcing it to repay its budget and shoulder its public debt, thus increasing internal conflict and fueling the conflicting interests of its member states regarding debt distribution.
Ukraine is a failed state. The costs of its economic rescue are incalculable, to the point that it would jeopardize the interests of the less well-off classes in the states currently belonging to the Union, who would have to reduce their welfare systems to raise the resources needed to support Ukraine and forgo much of their funding.
Ukraine is a nonexistent state, its finances ruined, having been stripped of most of its productive resources and raw materials located in the territories occupied by Russia, having to bear the burden of thousands of disabled people even after a possible peace, and having been deprived of a large portion of its population, who, having fled the war, largely have no intention of returning, having created a new economic and social order.
In four years of refugees settling in their host countries, fueled by generous welfare benefits and higher benefits than those paid to natives, they have created a new life and a new living space. Furthermore, many of them, returning to their country of origin, would not know where to return, either because it is now Russian territory, or because they would have to start over to build a dignified existence.
A different fate awaits the Ukrainians who have taken refuge in Russia (approximately 4 million) and those who have never left their homes, who will be able and will have to rebuild the destroyed Donbass, who will have the opportunity to repopulate a territory they have not abandoned and which they consider their homeland.
Considering the possibility of Ukraine's immediate accession to the EU, the nature of the problems to be addressed becomes clear by examining each one individually:
Agriculture: a large portion of the economy of the remaining Ukrainian territory, deprived of some eastern oblasts, would be even more engaged than before in agricultural production, which would still have to take place in a war-torn, bombed, and polluted territory that could only produce agricultural products with characteristics that do not conform to European standards due to the fact that they originate from polluted territories. If these products were marketable and included in European markets and distribution channels, they would compete with the markets of EU countries, putting their agriculture in crisis. Consider, for example, what happened with the export of Ukrainian grain, which sparked protests from farmers, especially Polish, Romanian, and German ones, who were harmed by unfair competition due to lower production costs. Furthermore, under current EU regulations, Ukrainian agriculture, due to its crisis, would absorb a large portion of the EU's agricultural budget, to the detriment of farmers' incomes in other countries, especially those in France, the Netherlands, and Poland.
Industrial production: although what will remain of Ukraine after the war will be a country that will see its technological capabilities increased-because the war, with all its destruction, also brought about an increase in knowledge to support the war effort, which then also impacted civilian production skills-Ukraine is still a country with completely devastated production structures. It's true that there's talk of an extraordinary reconstruction funding plan, an issue we recently addressed when commenting on the results of the Rome Conference, but even then it was clear that the funds available, even from institutions and private individuals, are completely insufficient.
The institutional players, namely the EU, will therefore have to pay, taking resources from the EU budget and, above all, from the welfare systems of individual states. In return, Ukraine will provide the EU with an army of war-traumatized veterans, who will inevitably volunteer to serve as security forces to quell the likely protests of the European proletariat, victims of "solidarity" with Ukraine. In this way, Putin-who, it is worth remembering, is a right-wing conservative, Orthodox, and a lover of tradition and religion-in other words, a Russian Maga-will have achieved another of his goals: shifting the political axis of European countries to the right.

The Left's Blame

These are the consequences of a misreading of the Ukrainian war by left-wing forces, who failed to understand that the Russian-Ukrainian war was and is a clash between two oligarchic and liberticidal regimes, politically similar, with divergent interests, but with a common goal: a sick nationalism that, especially on the Ukrainian side, is steeped in racism, xenophobia, and supremacism. The Western mainstream has portrayed Ukraine as an attacked people, while it was actually a country in which a civil war had been underway since at least 2014. For geostrategic reasons and the protection of ethnic minorities, another country, Russia, intervened, without realizing that the issue was not defending a liberal democracy, respectful of minorities, multilingual, and respectful of religious and conscientious freedom, as well as political freedom: it was something entirely different.

Ukraine, in fact, is a country that has imposed a state church by law, oppressing other faiths, seizing their assets, attributed to the state church, and restricting freedom of worship. The main persecution concerns the Orthodox Church, canonically linked to the Moscow Patriarchate but now independent of it, but it has also affected other faiths.

Even before the proclamation of martial law, it outlawed opposition parties. With a special law, it banned the use of Russian and other indigenous languages, imposing Ukrainian by law. It is "de-Russifying" the country, demolishing statues of Russian poets and writers, or Ukrainians who wrote in Russian. It has repressed autonomies. This de-Russification process bordered on the ridiculous when the Ukrainian Autocephalous Orthodox Church, mandated by the government, erased saints of Russian origin from the calendar in compliance with the 2023 law "On the Condemnation and Prohibition of Propaganda of Russian Imperial Policy in Ukraine and on the Decolonization of Toponymy."
This process of reclaiming Ukrainian identity was strengthened by implementing the Ukrainian law "On the Principles of State Policy of the National Memory of the Ukrainian People," rewriting history and pursuing the goal of "decolonializing Ukrainian culture from Russian imperialism." Ukrainian leaders have evidently forgotten that the country is multiethnic, even if it is searching for its own identity, a goal that cannot be achieved through subtraction and/or censorship. This alone should be enough to make Ukraine's accession to the EU impossible, as it violates not only the principles of the rule of law, but also those on which the EU claims to be founded.
The left should understand this, but what is more serious is that they have betrayed their duty by going against the interests of the classes they were supposed to defend, undermining their standard of living, and causing the catastrophe of the European economy, which relied on the low cost of energy from Russia, thus undermining the wages and incomes of European workers. The most serious result is the mobilization of entrepreneurs and financiers committed to rebuilding their profits by launching a massive European rearmament policy.
This lack of understanding has led to a series of reckless decisions that have placed European countries at the service of Great Britain and the Baltics, even though Britain is no longer part of the EU and the Baltics' economic weight and population are negligible. This has put them in a position to direct the Union's foreign policy, entrusted to Kaja Kretina Kallas, ignorant of history and geography, who wants to declare war not only on Russia, but also on China.
The left-wing parties have even gone so far as to joyfully hail the sabotage of Nord Stream 2, desired by the United States, led by Biden, and carried out by the British, including with the help of Ukrainian laborers. Their mistake is failing to understand that the Ukrainian war serves the interests of the United States and the imperial aspirations of Great Britain, to eliminate from the market the foolish European vassals who competed with American manufacturing activities, which are increasingly limited due to the decentralization of production they themselves have desired.
But even leaving aside the inability to protect the classes and classes that the left-wing forces should represent, the mistake is that of not having understood that war is in any case unacceptable because it affects the lower classes, while offering the crafty and the rich the opportunity to avoid conflict. This error has influenced most of the decisions of the self-described reformist left, which has been blinded by the mainstream narrative regarding the protection of the freedom of the attacked country. This choice has also involved the President of the Italian Republic, who plays his role as a vassal alongside Prime Minister Valvassino(/a), and as such belongs to the Court of the self-styled Emperor Trump, respecting the hierarchical structure of the Carolingian Empire. All this even when the White House has changed, which seems to have altered the US administration's political line. Faced with his wavering policies, European leaders have arrogantly given birth to a ragtag bunch of willing volunteers, ending up looking like a bunch of imbeciles. Even in the face of this perseverance in error, many of the self-styled left-wing parties continue to support Ukraine, paving the way for their own decline and burial, but handing the people over to the right. Thus, Putin, who is winning the war in Ukraine on the ground, despite what the mainstream media and the paid journalists who work there may say, will win twice: on the battlefield, albeit with difficulty, and by achieving a rightward shift in the political axis of European countries, who have come to question the rule of law by welcoming Ukraine into the Union, just to assert their political choices (the presidential elections in Romania and Moldova are a prime example).

The death knell for the European Union has tolled.

Enrico Paganini & C. G.

https://www.ucadi.org/2025/11/01/il-regalo-avvelenato-di-putin-alla-u-e/
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