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(en) Italy, UCADI #199 - Trump, the Gambler with the Unloaded Gun (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]
Date
Thu, 4 Sep 2025 07:28:17 +0300
From the White House saloon in Washington, D.C., gambler Donald Trump
manages the poker games of the dying empire. At the start of each new
game, he opens the game by revealing the cards he deems necessary to
conduct his game. He doesn't forget to keep his gun placed next to the
cards, mimicking the card players, cheats, and swindlers of his beloved
West. It's a typical behavior of emperors of waning empires, whose
powers are increasingly rarefied and reduced to a shadow of their former
selves. Trump, glued to the gaming table, hasn't noticed that while he
was engaged in ever new games, the dusty village street has been
replaced by an increasingly complex and vast world. The threatening
letters sent to rulers around the world, particularly those of European
vassals, announce negotiable tariffs of 30%, with a view to positioning
himself at 15%. Regardless of the amount of tribute demanded, it is
clear that, like any empire in crisis, the American one demands that its
subjects restore the empire's finances, shouldering the cost of
maintaining an oversized and mammoth apparatus that is impossible to
sustain.
The fact is that the empire's borders, while still encompassing most of
the planet's richest and most developed areas, are not large enough to
cover the entire globe; the empire has lost its global dimension. A
multilateral world is growing and asserting itself, characterized by
multiple centers of power, overshadowing the empire; we are referring to
the BRICS alliance.
THE BRICS
In 2000, to counter the Western hegemony of the dollar on the global
market, Brazil, China, India, and Russia created the BRICS, an
intergovernmental organization with global geoeconomic and geopolitical
objectives. South Africa immediately joined. In effect, this aggregation
constituted an alternative to the G7 and the G20. This role was
strengthened with the subsequent accessions of Egypt, the United Arab
Emirates, Ethiopia, Iran, and Indonesia, which became full members of
the organization. However, to assess the organization's weight, one must
look at the galaxy of states that gravitate around it. As of June 2025,
Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda,
Uzbekistan, and Vietnam have acquired partner status. Senegal, Sri
Lanka, Turkey, Venezuela, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Myanmar, Bangladesh,
and Pakistan have also expressed interest in joining. These countries
are all characterized by abundant natural resources, qualifying them as
developing countries, to the point of having experienced strong growth
in gross domestic product (GDP), and assuming a growing role in world
trade. These countries therefore propose to establish a global trade and
financial system through bilateral agreements that are not based on the
dollar as the base currency. Their goal is to launch a new, potentially
shared, currency that will enable de-dollarization. To achieve this
goal, the BRICS favor regulating their economic exchanges using their
national currencies. The organization's growing importance is evidenced
by the fact that in 2010, the International Monetary Fund included the
BRICS among its 10 largest shareholder countries, along with the United
States, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom. For their
part, to implement their de-dollarization strategy, the BRICS have
established their own autonomous financial structure as an alternative
to the IMF, establishing the new Development Bank based in Shanghai,
chaired by Wilma Russell, former President of Brazil. Today, BRICS
members represent 49% of the world's population, and have declared their
intention to lead the global trade game with their local currencies.
The Rio de Janeiro Meeting
The latest BRICS meeting took place in Rio de Janeiro, focusing on six
strategic priorities: global health cooperation; trade, investment, and
finance; climate change; governance for artificial intelligence;
peacekeeping and security; and institutional development. But the
underlying objective of July 6 and 7 was to counter the hegemony of the
dollar and coordinate opposition to the tariff war threatened by US
President Tykhon, while simultaneously pursuing peace as a priority.
At their meeting, the BRICS reaffirmed their commitment to cooperating
with each other and with other nations to safeguard and strengthen a
"non-discriminatory, open, fair, inclusive, equitable, transparent, and
rules-based multilateral trading system, with the WTO at its core."
"We must avoid trade wars that could plunge the global economy into
recession or prolong weak growth." At the same time, they continued the
discussion on the need to adopt a new common commercial currency,
deeming this objective "extremely important," strong in the fact that
the BRICS member countries hold strategic minerals that are essential
for the energy transition: 84% of the world's rare earth reserves, 66%
of manganese, and 63% of graphite. Strengthened by their possession of
basic resources and collectively representing the majority of the world
market, the BRICS expressed confidence that they could resist the high
tariff policy practiced by the United States. Overall, their economies
continue to grow year after year, cooperating in key sectors, and
boasting enormous political, economic, and human potential. Their
overall purchasing power is growing to the point of involving a large
part of the global market. This is producing radical changes in the
world economy, to the point that the unipolar system of international
relations is becoming a thing of the past. In this situation, the United
States' imposition of tariffs, varying and increasing in scale on
different countries according to the White House's political
convenience, risks simply marginalizing the United States and its vassal
countries from world trade, while still maintaining a lively and
effective trade regime that primarily concerns the circulation of raw
materials, particularly energy. Evidence of how closely this reflects
actual market data is provided by the fact that the 18 sanctions
packages against Russia, enacted following the Ukrainian war, have had
very limited effects on the Russian economy. Indeed, the Russian economy
appears to be reinvigorated not only by the partial adoption of a war
economy but also by having been forced to develop a range of economic
activities related to light industry to cover the deficit resulting from
the lack of imports of goods, which were made problematic by the sanctions.
It is increasingly clear that the BRICS world has a sufficiently high
and qualitatively significant flow of goods and production capacity to
meet market demands, without resorting to dependence on the American
market and its satellite countries. Furthermore, the BRICS countries'
control of raw materials and energy provides them with the currency to
purchase products such as pharmaceuticals and services, which until
recently seemed to be the exclusive domain of the West. This is
especially true as China and India become increasingly capable of
providing these services, using alternative networks they have created,
such as artificial intelligence or even communications.
The Growing Role of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)
To counter the role of the G7 and G20, as well as NATO, the SCO has
entered the fray. This regional intergovernmental organization, which
currently includes China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan,
and Uzbekistan, focuses on political, economic, and security cooperation
in Central Asia. The SCO was established in June 2001, when Uzbekistan
joined the so-called Group of Five (or Shanghai Five), which had been
active since the mid-1990s on border management cooperation, and the
Group decided to formalize itself as an organization. The Charter was
approved in June 2002. Observer countries include Mongolia, India, Iran,
Pakistan, and, since 2012, Afghanistan, but a total of 25 so-called
"dialogue partners" maintain relations with the organization.
While in the first decade of the SCO's existence, membership was mostly
regional and limited to Central and South Asia (with the exception of
Turkey), over the past decade, dialogue partners have expanded the SCO's
geographical scope, reaching the Caucasus, the Middle East, and North
Africa. Its progressive expansion has made the SCO increasingly less
tied to its original mandate of regional border security and
increasingly focused on a global dimension that also incorporates issues
such as trade and economic development. Key instruments of the
organization are the annual ministerial summits that bring together
ministers from member states in the SCO's areas of cooperation: trade,
science and technology, culture and education, energy, transport,
tourism, and environmental protection.
The system resembles that of the European Union Council of Ministers,
which has a multifaceted composition dependent on the topic addressed,
although the relevance of discussions and decision-making power are not
comparable.
With this flexible system of collaboration, the SCO's activities have
expanded significantly over the years, covering almost every aspect of
multilateral cooperation in the region. It is a fact that the SCO has
progressively diversified its areas of cooperation, entering into issues
beyond territorial security, which initially dominated. Currently,
collaboration extends to various fields, such as health and technology.
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization is increasingly becoming a
multilateral platform for cooperation committed to addressing a wide and
constantly expanding range of issues.
The Tools of a Multipolar World
While the American gambler shows the utmost contempt for international
organizations. By leaving the G7 meeting in Canada early, reiterating
that the world is made up of the empire and its vassals, to whom the
self-styled emperor issues orders, imposes taxes, exacts tribute,
demands obedience and genuflection, rewards and punishes according to
the White House's convenience, its international competitors are doing
everything they can to create multilateral, cooperative organizations
that move toward collegiality and participation. There is no doubt that
these political choices contribute to further limiting the isolation of
China and Russia and to consolidating strategic regional ties with
countries on the margins of the American empire, reaffirming that
another world, another order, is possible.
Gianni Cimbalo
https://www.ucadi.org/2025/07/27/trump-il-gambler-dalla-pistola-scarica/
_________________________________________
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