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(en) Italy, UCADI #199 - Trump, the Gambler with the Unloaded Gun (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

Date Thu, 4 Sep 2025 07:28:17 +0300


From the White House saloon in Washington, D.C., gambler Donald Trump manages the poker games of the dying empire. At the start of each new game, he opens the game by revealing the cards he deems necessary to conduct his game. He doesn't forget to keep his gun placed next to the cards, mimicking the card players, cheats, and swindlers of his beloved West. It's a typical behavior of emperors of waning empires, whose powers are increasingly rarefied and reduced to a shadow of their former selves. Trump, glued to the gaming table, hasn't noticed that while he was engaged in ever new games, the dusty village street has been replaced by an increasingly complex and vast world. The threatening letters sent to rulers around the world, particularly those of European vassals, announce negotiable tariffs of 30%, with a view to positioning himself at 15%. Regardless of the amount of tribute demanded, it is clear that, like any empire in crisis, the American one demands that its subjects restore the empire's finances, shouldering the cost of maintaining an oversized and mammoth apparatus that is impossible to sustain.
The fact is that the empire's borders, while still encompassing most of the planet's richest and most developed areas, are not large enough to cover the entire globe; the empire has lost its global dimension. A multilateral world is growing and asserting itself, characterized by multiple centers of power, overshadowing the empire; we are referring to the BRICS alliance.

THE BRICS

In 2000, to counter the Western hegemony of the dollar on the global market, Brazil, China, India, and Russia created the BRICS, an intergovernmental organization with global geoeconomic and geopolitical objectives. South Africa immediately joined. In effect, this aggregation constituted an alternative to the G7 and the G20. This role was strengthened with the subsequent accessions of Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Iran, and Indonesia, which became full members of the organization. However, to assess the organization's weight, one must look at the galaxy of states that gravitate around it. As of June 2025, Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda, Uzbekistan, and Vietnam have acquired partner status. Senegal, Sri Lanka, Turkey, Venezuela, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Myanmar, Bangladesh, and Pakistan have also expressed interest in joining. These countries are all characterized by abundant natural resources, qualifying them as developing countries, to the point of having experienced strong growth in gross domestic product (GDP), and assuming a growing role in world trade. These countries therefore propose to establish a global trade and financial system through bilateral agreements that are not based on the dollar as the base currency. Their goal is to launch a new, potentially shared, currency that will enable de-dollarization. To achieve this goal, the BRICS favor regulating their economic exchanges using their national currencies. The organization's growing importance is evidenced by the fact that in 2010, the International Monetary Fund included the BRICS among its 10 largest shareholder countries, along with the United States, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom. For their part, to implement their de-dollarization strategy, the BRICS have established their own autonomous financial structure as an alternative to the IMF, establishing the new Development Bank based in Shanghai, chaired by Wilma Russell, former President of Brazil. Today, BRICS members represent 49% of the world's population, and have declared their intention to lead the global trade game with their local currencies.

The Rio de Janeiro Meeting

The latest BRICS meeting took place in Rio de Janeiro, focusing on six strategic priorities: global health cooperation; trade, investment, and finance; climate change; governance for artificial intelligence; peacekeeping and security; and institutional development. But the underlying objective of July 6 and 7 was to counter the hegemony of the dollar and coordinate opposition to the tariff war threatened by US President Tykhon, while simultaneously pursuing peace as a priority.
At their meeting, the BRICS reaffirmed their commitment to cooperating with each other and with other nations to safeguard and strengthen a "non-discriminatory, open, fair, inclusive, equitable, transparent, and rules-based multilateral trading system, with the WTO at its core."
"We must avoid trade wars that could plunge the global economy into recession or prolong weak growth." At the same time, they continued the discussion on the need to adopt a new common commercial currency, deeming this objective "extremely important," strong in the fact that the BRICS member countries hold strategic minerals that are essential for the energy transition: 84% of the world's rare earth reserves, 66% of manganese, and 63% of graphite. Strengthened by their possession of basic resources and collectively representing the majority of the world market, the BRICS expressed confidence that they could resist the high tariff policy practiced by the United States. Overall, their economies continue to grow year after year, cooperating in key sectors, and boasting enormous political, economic, and human potential. Their overall purchasing power is growing to the point of involving a large part of the global market. This is producing radical changes in the world economy, to the point that the unipolar system of international relations is becoming a thing of the past. In this situation, the United States' imposition of tariffs, varying and increasing in scale on different countries according to the White House's political convenience, risks simply marginalizing the United States and its vassal countries from world trade, while still maintaining a lively and effective trade regime that primarily concerns the circulation of raw materials, particularly energy. Evidence of how closely this reflects actual market data is provided by the fact that the 18 sanctions packages against Russia, enacted following the Ukrainian war, have had very limited effects on the Russian economy. Indeed, the Russian economy appears to be reinvigorated not only by the partial adoption of a war economy but also by having been forced to develop a range of economic activities related to light industry to cover the deficit resulting from the lack of imports of goods, which were made problematic by the sanctions.
It is increasingly clear that the BRICS world has a sufficiently high and qualitatively significant flow of goods and production capacity to meet market demands, without resorting to dependence on the American market and its satellite countries. Furthermore, the BRICS countries' control of raw materials and energy provides them with the currency to purchase products such as pharmaceuticals and services, which until recently seemed to be the exclusive domain of the West. This is especially true as China and India become increasingly capable of providing these services, using alternative networks they have created, such as artificial intelligence or even communications.

The Growing Role of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)

To counter the role of the G7 and G20, as well as NATO, the SCO has entered the fray. This regional intergovernmental organization, which currently includes China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan, focuses on political, economic, and security cooperation in Central Asia. The SCO was established in June 2001, when Uzbekistan joined the so-called Group of Five (or Shanghai Five), which had been active since the mid-1990s on border management cooperation, and the Group decided to formalize itself as an organization. The Charter was approved in June 2002. Observer countries include Mongolia, India, Iran, Pakistan, and, since 2012, Afghanistan, but a total of 25 so-called "dialogue partners" maintain relations with the organization.
While in the first decade of the SCO's existence, membership was mostly regional and limited to Central and South Asia (with the exception of Turkey), over the past decade, dialogue partners have expanded the SCO's geographical scope, reaching the Caucasus, the Middle East, and North Africa. Its progressive expansion has made the SCO increasingly less tied to its original mandate of regional border security and increasingly focused on a global dimension that also incorporates issues such as trade and economic development. Key instruments of the organization are the annual ministerial summits that bring together ministers from member states in the SCO's areas of cooperation: trade, science and technology, culture and education, energy, transport, tourism, and environmental protection.
The system resembles that of the European Union Council of Ministers, which has a multifaceted composition dependent on the topic addressed, although the relevance of discussions and decision-making power are not comparable.
With this flexible system of collaboration, the SCO's activities have expanded significantly over the years, covering almost every aspect of multilateral cooperation in the region. It is a fact that the SCO has progressively diversified its areas of cooperation, entering into issues beyond territorial security, which initially dominated. Currently, collaboration extends to various fields, such as health and technology. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization is increasingly becoming a multilateral platform for cooperation committed to addressing a wide and constantly expanding range of issues.

The Tools of a Multipolar World

While the American gambler shows the utmost contempt for international organizations. By leaving the G7 meeting in Canada early, reiterating that the world is made up of the empire and its vassals, to whom the self-styled emperor issues orders, imposes taxes, exacts tribute, demands obedience and genuflection, rewards and punishes according to the White House's convenience, its international competitors are doing everything they can to create multilateral, cooperative organizations that move toward collegiality and participation. There is no doubt that these political choices contribute to further limiting the isolation of China and Russia and to consolidating strategic regional ties with countries on the margins of the American empire, reaffirming that another world, another order, is possible.

Gianni Cimbalo

https://www.ucadi.org/2025/07/27/trump-il-gambler-dalla-pistola-scarica/
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