A-Infos (en) Italy, UCADI, #198 - The Polish Duck (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

On June 2, 71.63% of Poles went to the polls to elect the President of 
the Republic, recording the highest voter turnout since the end of 
communism. The sovereignist candidate Karol Nawrocki of the PiS obtained 
50.89% of the votes (10,606,628 absolute votes), while the liberal mayor 
of Warsaw, the pro-European Rafal Trzaskowski stopped at 49.11% 
(10,237,177 votes). The political result of the vote is that the country 
is deeply divided: it will be difficult for Prime Minister Donald Tusk 
to carry forward the reform process requested by the European Union. It 
is worth remembering that Poland was emerging from two mandates of a 
right-wing management of the State and institutions that led the country 
to a profound shift to the right on the social level, in the enjoyment 
of democratic freedoms, and in the rule of law. The deep Poland, the 
countryside, voted for Nawrocki, while the cities and the diaspora gave 
their vote to his opponent. The elected president is a staunch supporter 
of traditional values: he is against abortion and LGBTQ+ rights, he 
wants more stringent and restrictive rules on migrants, and he claims a 
growing role for Poland in the EU. His electoral campaign was strongly 
supported by the Maga movement and by the international right, to which 
his party is very close. One of the issues that made the difference 
between the two candidates was Nawrocki's position on the war in 
Ukraine, considering that, unlike the Atlanticist positions of his 
opponent, he is against Ukraine's entry into NATO and has the same 
positions as Orbàn regarding support for the Ukrainian war. Having 
collected the vote of the deep Poland, the peasant one Nawrocki has 
become the interpreter of the discontent towards the Ukrainian 
emigration that has produced the protests of the farmers who complain 
about unfair competition of the Ukrainian agricultural products sold on 
the Polish internal market, without paying any import duties, which make 
a ruthless competition to the products of the natives, depressing their 
prices on the market. It is also not to be underestimated the negative 
impact of the support measures in favor of Ukrainian refugees that in 
fact create a diversification of the treatments with the most 
disadvantaged part of the Polish population with regard to access to the 
health service, social services, housing.

The result of the vote greatly complicates the work of the coalition 
government led by Donald Tusk, who risks seeing his progressive program 
further blocked by a President of the Republic, endowed with the power 
of veto on the laws.

The ultra-right in power

The Polish elections have significantly shifted the political axis in 
the European Union to the right. It is no coincidence that the annual 
conference of the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) 
organized by the United States on the initiative of the American 
Conservative Union (ACU) was held in Poland before the elections. This 
is a reference event for the American and international right, involving 
activists, politicians and public figures from all over the world. The 
CPAC conference made it possible to discuss the key issues of the 
moment, promote conservative ideas and organize the political strategy 
of the movement. This organization is well-established in Poland where 
it has foundations and support structures linked to the Polish clergy. 
In particular, the ties with the Ordo Iuris movement are deep and 
well-documented, which in 2013 had already created the Foundation of the 
same name based in Warsaw, a structure of Catholics strongly linked to 
PiS and to the Polish far-right circles and supported by the Church, in 
particular by the Archbishop of Krakow, well known for his frequent 
statements in favor of conservatives, with deep ties with the supporters 
of the "theology of prosperity" supported by the Latin American 
evangelical movements.
However, the rising star of the Polish political landscape is 
Konfederacja (Confederation of Freedom and Justice), the new far-right 
party with an anti-European program, an epigone of AfD already present 
in Poland in 2019, whose votes were decisive for the victory of the 
right. Its program is typical of a far-right and anti-system party that 
aims to refound the entire State on authoritarian bases and is part of 
the black international that sees the presence of Vox, the League of 
Portuguese Chega. We were saying that the strength of the Polish 
conservatives lies in the deep ties that exist between this political 
component and the rural population, deeply affected by the competition 
due to the introduction of Ukrainian goods on the market. In recent 
years, Poland has benefited from strong development, thanks to the 
resources coming from Europe. The beneficiaries were mainly the 
population of the cities and the industrial workers; the burden was 
borne by the deep Poland that today claims its rights. Furthermore, the 
right-wing parties are deeply linked to the Church and its structures: 
the latter has stipulated a real contract of tender with the power for 
the management of a large part of public funds, personal services, 
social services. The Church repays this relationship with political 
support for the right-wing parties, especially since there is a 
consonance between the social program supported by them with regard to 
assistance for the elderly, the disabled, the needy, for single mothers, 
pregnant women, young people, the financing of private Catholic schools, 
etc. The presence of the Polish Church is so pervasive in society that 
it is largely present even in the management of prisons and hospitals, 
in all cultural services. On the other hand, the role that the Church 
had in the collapse of communism cannot be forgotten. The hidden funding 
of the Marcincus Wojtyla duo is the basis of this political alliance and 
determines and conditions the regime crisis that led to the birth of the 
new Polish state, which bears in its imprint that set of traditional 
Catholic values that hinge on the traditional family, on the aversion to 
abortion, on the most traditional Catholic morality.

Donald Tusk, the limping

Even though the elected President belongs to the PiS, his party is 
currently in opposition, despite the victory of his coalition - the 
United Right (ZL) - in the 2023 elections, obtaining more than 35% of 
the votes and even a slightly higher percentage of votes in this year's 
European elections.
The government is in the hands of the Civic Coalition (KO), led by Prime 
Minister Donald Tusk, who will now have to face increasing obstacles due 
to the veto power on laws that the President of the Republic can exercise.
This dualism of powers creates a particular situation of weakness 
depriving the group of the willing - the European directorate formed by 
France, Great Britain, Germany and Poland in support of the war in 
Ukraine - of one of the legs on which to stand. Well aware of this, the 
European Union immediately launched an invitation to the winner of the 
Polish elections to collaborate in a joint management of institutions 
and power.
However, the growing political weight of Konfederacja Wolnosc i 
Niepodleglosc (KwiN) ends up being a thorn in the side of the PiS, 
because the more it shows itself available to compromise and willing to 
give in to the flattery of Tusk and the European Commission, the more 
Konfederacja will grow, eroding its power.
If we add to this that the other members of the so-called coalition of 
the willing are all exhausted leaders and in serious crisis with the 
electorate of their respective countries, we can easily understand the 
depth of the crisis and how much the result of the Polish elections 
affects the European balance. To complete the picture, it is enough to 
remember that Macron is at the end of his mandate and cannot be 
re-elected, Merz is recovering from a failed vote of confidence and 
needed a second vote to be confirmed in the office of chancellor. What 
can we say about Starmer's popularity, in free fall among his 
electorate. However, precisely because they are so weak, these leaders 
in the twilight of the main European countries are dangerous, because 
they have nothing to lose, they are at the end of their tether, they are 
desperate and therefore willing to play every card in order to stay in 
power.

The English fraction

Whoever looks at the group of the willing cannot fail to immediately 
notice an anomaly, constituted by the presence, with a decisive role, of 
Great Britain, which even with Brexit has placed itself outside the 
European Union. Yet, more than ever, this country is trying to direct 
and influence its continental policy and strategic choices, supported by 
its proxies, constituted by the countries that were part of the British 
Empire and that in the fracture that occurred within Anglo-Saxon 
capitalism, sided with England, rather than with the United States. 
Bearer of an imperial vision of its role, Great Britain considers 
control of the European continent as an essential strategic element of 
its power and therefore aims to keep the countries of the continent 
divided among themselves and above all to prevent organic relations 
between them and Russia. It knows well, from historical experience, that 
the alliance between the manufacturing capabilities of Western Europe 
and the energy reserves of the immense Russian territory would exclude 
it from any role and would relegate it to becoming the small island that 
in fact it is. If this prospect were to come true, the financial role of 
the City of London would also be greatly reduced and continental finance 
and manufacturing would find other balances.
Therefore, dividing Russia from Europe is a strategic objective that 
England cannot and does not want to give up in order not to lose what 
remains of its imperial role, in a phase of international politics such 
as today's, characterized by a tendency towards the rebirth of empires 
in a multipolar world.
The pursuit of this objective explains England's support for the war in 
Ukraine, of which this country is the true sponsor, the determination 
with which the country does everything to make up for the withdrawal of 
the United States from the European area, interested in a global 
presence, concerned above all by the balances that are being determined 
in the Pacific area.
It is a grave mistake for continental European countries to comply with 
English requests, to accept being the foolish servants of a hegemonic 
project that only serves the interests of the elite of the British Isles 
and serves to revive an empire of buccaneers and pirates who for 
centuries have tyrannized the routes of the entire world and have 
oppressed with their imperial domination a large part of the world, 
draining precious resources towards the British Isles. In our opinion, 
it is time for the European peoples to free themselves from this cancer 
that is corroding them, avoiding among other things to precipitate 
Europe into a nuclear war, as could have happened if only Russia had not 
kept its nerves, in the face of the very serious attack on the triad of 
the nuclear defense system on June 1, as happened with the Ukrainian 
attacks on Russian aviation, operating on the clear and well-known 
mandate of the British secret services.

See also: Political Observatory. Published on March 2, 2025 by Ucadi in 
Issue 194 - February 2025, Newsletter, Year 2025; Romanian-style coup, 
Published on January 2, 2025 by Ucadi in Newsletter, Issue 192 - 
December 2024, Year 2024; Osservatorio Politico, Newsletter Crescita 
Politica n. 19

G. L.

https://www.ucadi.org/2025/06/22/lanatra-polacca/
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