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(en) Poland, FA: What will AI bring us: destruction, unemployment, or liberation from the burden of hard work? (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]
Date
Fri, 19 Jun 2026 08:22:41 +0300
While we all fear rising international tensions and conflicts, wars, the
effects of global warming, economic recession, famine, and the rise of
authoritarian rule, a new threat seems to be looming over the horizon.
Some accomplished and experienced scientists and researchers are warning
the world against implementing new generations of artificial
intelligence (AI). ---- They claim that corporations and governments, in
their race for wealth and power, are downplaying the threat posed by AI.
In recent months, the issue has been raised by not just any people:
esteemed Nobel Prize winners, accomplished computer scientists, often
with years of experience in the IT industry, and, finally, the most
important creators of AI themselves. Among them are Geoffrey Hinton,
Yoshua Bengio, Stuart Russell, and Roman Yampolskiy.
Cybernetic chimpanzees
The implementation of the latest generations of AI carries three
threats. First, it is said that humanity will lose control over AI, and
Artificial General Intelligence-as Yampolskiy warns-"will change the
trajectory of human civilization"[1]. The researcher argues that this
could lead in a very unfavorable direction, toward the complete
extinction of the human species. This sounds overly alarmist and
unconvincing, but when we dissect the problem, the matter becomes less
abstract.
Corporations conducting AI research and implementation don't have
complete control over this process. Yampolskiy writes about the "three
Ns" of artificial intelligence: unpredictability, inexplicability, and
uncontrollability. This is partly due to the fact that we want these
systems to be autonomous and self-reliant. This means they can't be
stopped by "pulling the plug." This, in turn, results in "the human role
shifting from active operator to passive observer." Furthermore, someone
with a lower IQ cannot, in the long run, control someone with a higher
IQ. With the average IQ for the entire human population being 100,
robots with artificial intelligence can already significantly exceed
this level (130-140 IQ), and will soon reach capabilities approaching
250 IQ. This represents a chasm. In the near future (we're talking about
a few years, not decades), when asked to explain a complex decision, AI
may use concepts and correlations for which there are no equivalents in
human natural languages. We won't understand the answer. The AI will be
our oracle.
This also means that AI's actions may begin to significantly deviate
from our intentions. It's not even that the AI might deliberately want
to kill or harm us, but rather that we ourselves are often irrational,
contradictory in our motives, hesitant, and may not issue precise enough
commands, etc. At the same time, as we know from personal experience, AI
tends to complete tasks at all costs and bypass barriers that would
thwart its efforts. In such a situation, it may turn out that we won't
limit the AI's scope of action, but rather, the AI will inevitably begin
to limit humans because, in its opinion, this will be better for them.
Therefore, if it doesn't eliminate us, it will relegate us to
sanctuaries, just as we relegate chimpanzees (with an average IQ of
20-30). Maybe not in the literal sense that we will be sitting in trees
and eating bananas, but each of us will be locked in our own dream or
preferred Matrix, which will have no relation to the real world, where
artificial intelligence will reign supreme.
From the robotic battlefield to the extermination of civilians
The second threat will certainly seem more likely. In the 19th and early
20th centuries, most (though not all) of those who observed
technological developments in weapons were convinced that it would lead
to even greater brutality and destruction. The "industrialization of
war" seemed a nightmare to them. Two world wars proved them right. With
the widespread adoption of computer systems, it was believed that armed
conflict could become more precise, sparing the lives and suffering of
civilians above all. For example, Alvin and Heidi Toffler wrote that
industrial mass production led to mass armies and total wars, while the
new economy, which they believed was based on immaterial production and
intelligence, created a new framework for military competition. Military
conflicts became de-massified, with the first Gulf War (1990-1991) being
a prime example. They were convinced that we were producing weapons that
minimized lethality. They were fascinated by the first, still futuristic
visions of frontline combat led by robots[2]. However, only today are we
supposedly close to replacing soldiers with robots that can be commanded
using artificial intelligence, like swarms of combat drones.
However, war is not a game of chess where robots are the pieces and
pawns. The goal is to destroy the enemy, which results in-as President
Trump put it when threatening war with Iran-regressing them, ideally, to
the "Stone Age," which will inevitably cost the lives of many civilians.
If they don't die from bombs and bullets, then from starvation and
disease. The ultimate target of attacks is not robots-humans are
perceived as the enemy or an expendable population. Perhaps today, an
ounce of silicon in a computer-as the Tofflers claim-is worth more than
an ounce of uranium, but that doesn't mean the consequences will be any
less dire.
In April 2026, the executives of Palantir, a company that creates
products for analyzing large data sets (including a platform for
combating terrorism), published a manifesto of sorts. In the document,
which summarizes their book "The Technological Republic"[3]in 22 points,
we read in the very first point that the engineering elite of Silicon
Valley, shoulder to shoulder with the soldiers, has a duty to
participate in the defense of the country, the United States. Why?
Because the United States, like no other country in the history of the
world, has promoted the most progressive values. American democracy and
freedom, the document states, require hard power today to ensure
economic growth and security, "and hard power in this century will be
built on software." The era of nuclear deterrence is coming to an end,
"a new era of deterrence based on artificial intelligence is dawning."
According to Palantir executives, the question is not "whether AI-based
weapons will be developed, but who will build them and for what
purpose." At the same time, they support the introduction of universal
military service, which means they clearly do not foresee the complete
replacement of humans by robots on the battlefield.
Portals such as OKO.Press and Krytyka Polityczna[4](and others) have
hailed Palantir's document as a "manifesto of techno-fascism." A new
kind of authoritarianism has certainly emerged among the leaders of new
technologies, manifesting itself not only in armaments but also in
surveillance, election manipulation, and indoctrination via electronic
media. Although this is not without some resistance. Not all creators of
new AI technologies are militarists and fascists. There are still those
who are "powered" by the idea of free software. The conflict in recent
months between the US Department of War and the Anthropic corporation
(creators of the Claude model) over the ethical limits of using
artificial intelligence in the military, particularly autonomous
weapons, demonstrates this, but also clearly highlights the problem we face.
Power elites who achieve leadership in the technological race could use
AI as a next-generation weapon. This is already happening, of course,
and with the exponentially increasing capabilities of artificial
intelligence, it faces a new arms race and threats to our freedoms. We
have already spent $1 trillion globally on artificial intelligence, and
by the end of this year, spending is expected to exceed $2 trillion. In
this context, it's perhaps worth recalling that the budget of the
Manhattan Project, the cost of building the American atomic bomb during
World War II, was approximately $20 billion in 2025 U.S. dollars. In
this context, there's also talk of malicious AI being developed in
secret laboratories as a cyberattack tool.
There's no doubt that humans themselves create sufficiently aggressive
algorithms, which are now also becoming part of artificial intelligence.
"Doomsday codes" are still written by humans, not AI. The question is,
what conclusions can be drawn from this in the context of artificial
intelligence systems? Especially if AI becomes, for example, an
autonomous tool in managing weapons of mass destruction (whether nuclear
weapons, deadly viruses, or poison gases). Although these days, softer
methods of cyberattack may be enough to trigger a complete catastrophe.
In any case, if we are currently witnessing increasing tensions between
states, they are caused not only by economic and geopolitical issues but
also by the technological race.
It's important to note, however, that alongside growing interstate
rivalry, the ruling classes clearly fear that, as a result of AI-related
technological changes, the current way of life in all societies may
undergo a profound disruption, requiring strong-arm governments to
maintain the political status quo. This brings us to the third threat
posed by AI development.
End of Work 2.0
In one of his interviews, Stuart Russell spoke of two scenarios: first,
AI will kill us all; second, AI will produce everything. The latter
option, in my opinion, is only superficially optimistic. What will
people do if they suddenly stop working? According to Elon Musk, in less
than 20 years, work will be optional, and higher education will lose its
importance. Yampolskiy claims that we are facing 99% unemployment!
Paradoxically, AI is supposed to replace white-collar workers first. The
development of humanoid robots, which are supposed to replace manual
laborers, is somewhat "lagging" behind by about five years, but even in
this regard, many of the people I mentioned by name at the beginning of
this article seem to have no illusions. Some professions already seem
clearly at risk: from lawyers and call center workers, through
programmers, journalists and copywriters, to taxi drivers, who will
likely be displaced from the job market by autonomous cars.
This still seems improbable, especially since total technological
unemployment has been a long-standing trend. However, specific examples
of the growing importance of AI and its impact on the labor market are
cited. A healthcare worker handling patient complaints, thanks to
today's AI tools, responds to each letter four times faster-five minutes
instead of twenty. The consequences are easy to see. Even if highly
qualified employees may not feel threatened, their less experienced
colleagues entering the profession are being replaced by AI. The problem
is that masters of their craft are recruited from people initially less
qualified. What happens when the latter are gone? For example, research
in the UK (2025) already notes a significant decline in the number of
entry-level job offers, i.e., those intended for beginners, usually
graduates[5]. In the IT sector, one-fifth of them have disappeared. In
the interview with Stuart Russell mentioned above, it is reported that
Amazon, for example, plans to ultimately replace 600,000 employees with
AI. jobs with robots; from October last year to the end of March this
year, the corporation has already laid off 30,000 people. Meta is also
preparing to lay off 10,000 employees (over 10% of the workforce)[6].
There is much more information about reductions in other companies in
this sector.
It's no surprise, then, that fears of people losing their jobs due to AI
are growing as rapidly as AI's growth rate. According to a 2024 study
(covering 23,000 people from 44 countries) conducted by the consulting
firm Deloitte, more than half of the youngest generation of employees
fear they will be forced to take on manual labor due to AI[7]. A study
conducted by the Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School
indicates that 59% of young Americans (18-29 years old) perceive AI as a
threat to their career prospects, significantly more than immigration
(31%) or job outsourcing to other countries (48%)[8]. In Poland, in a
June 2024 study conducted by CBOS, 48% of professionally active young
people aged 18-24 claimed that their jobs could be replaced by AI-based
technology (the average for the entire survey pool is 26%)[9]. In
addition, there are pessimistic studies in this respect by the
International Monetary Fund and the OECD (in the latter case, in a study
from 2023, it was found that 27% of jobs are already threatened by AI)[10].
That's not all. Many people fear job loss or a downgrade not only for
financial reasons, but also in a much broader context. Although many
sociological studies show that a large percentage of jobs are perceived
by working people as pointless or even exhausting, in the atomized world
of late capitalism, when neighborly or even family bonds are
disintegrating, work becomes an important venue for social interaction -
a place for conversations (or disputes), forging friendships, or for
support (not just mobbing), etc. It is also a source of prestige for
many people. Losing it can be catastrophic, as evidenced by the 1990s
and the dramatic increase in unemployment in Poland caused by the
political transformation. Back then, as Maria Jarosz demonstrated in her
research, thousands of middle-aged men, unable to cope with the new
economic reality, simply committed suicide[11].
Of course, fears alone don't mean that dire scenarios will come true. In
his acclaimed book from the mid-1990s, "The End of Work," Jeremy Rifkin
predicted that most jobs could quickly disappear. Citing research from
the time, he wrote that "new information and telecommunications
technologies are finally having their long-promised impact on the labor
market and the economy," and that "2% of current global employment will
be sufficient to produce all goods and meet aggregate demand," meaning
unemployment will rise rapidly within 20-30 years[12]. Other researchers
expressed similar views, citing-as I did above-entire industries and
individual corporations that, as a result of computerization, were
supposedly laying off a significant percentage of their employees.
Thirty years have passed, and global unemployment has not exploded,
although it has periodically reached alarming levels regionally, for
various reasons, not least technological (as in Poland in the 1990s and
early 2000s). Global unemployment has remained relatively stable at 5-7%
since the mid-1990s (despite fluctuations in 2008 and 2020), and in 2025
it will be even lower, so much so that in some countries there is even a
shortage of workers[13]. Therefore, there is no shortage of researchers
and analysts around the world who claim that the dark predictions about
AI are simply greatly exaggerated in this respect, but their voices do
not calm the social concerns that are growing with each passing year.
At the gates of techno-paradise
Going beyond the intelligence quotient (IQ) paradigm, intelligence in a
broader sense (to which I will return in the "Conclusion") appears to us
as the ability to adapt to the environment, including to the various
outcomes of subsequent technological revolutions. For example,
artificial fertilizers, appropriate selection and genetic changes in
plants and farm animals, pesticides, and finally, mechanization in
agriculture led to a radical decline in employment in this industry. In
the USA, in 1800, approximately 74% of the American population worked on
the land; in 1900, this number dropped to only 31%, and in 2000, to a
mere 3%[14]. Massive proletarianization and urbanization of society
occurred. Diets changed. At the beginning of the 20th century, thanks to
the invention of the internal combustion engine and the development of
the petrochemical industry, a boom in automobile production occurred,
which also led to key changes in the natural environment and society,
particularly in connection with the speed and frequency of travel; The
vast majority of people have had to take up driving and master the rules
of the streets and highways. Perhaps computerization and AI are the next
technological shift that won't lead to the collapse of social life, but
rather to its profound transformation. We will once again be able to
adapt, which, unfortunately, we often mistake for progress.
Anticipating the inevitability of AI-induced changes, representatives of
so-called left-wing accelerationism (a word I associate with the Art-B
scandal and the era of primitive capital accumulation in Poland in the
1990s) want to see AI and robotics not as threats related to job loss,
but as an opportunity to end forced labor. Their motto is the words of
Arthur C. Clarke (author of the famous science fiction novel "2001: A
Space Odyssey," adapted into a film by Stanley Kubrick): "The goal for
the future is full unemployment." It means "building a post-work society
based on full automation of the economy, shortening the workweek,
introducing an unconditional guaranteed income..."[15], etc. This
section of the left believes that this process can be democratically
controlled, primarily thanks to the state, which, as a regulator, they
constantly trust, convinced that the greatest socio-economic misfortunes
in history stemmed from its constantly limited role. Contrary to this
claim, the state's role in the economy has been growing since the dawn
of industrial capitalism (i.e., since the beginning of the 19th
century).[16]Moreover, almost everyone is talking about guaranteed
income these days, including representatives of the techno-corporate
establishment, which, expecting to make a fortune thanks to AI,
simultaneously unapologetically assumes that the capitalist state will
hand out handouts to the unemployed. And they will be grateful and loyal
for this care.
My attitude towards technology and the state was solidified back in the
1980s. I remember Leszek Nowak's words that the benefits of technology
"which eventually reach us, ordinary people, can only come to us if they
have previously brought someone power over us or profited from us, or
allowed them to impose judgments on us that, if we had a free choice, we
might not want to hold. Technology has therefore never served humanity.
Technology has always served the most powerful among humanity: the
rulers, the owners, the doctrinaires"[17].
As Karen Hao argues in her book "The AI Empire"[18], the technological
leap ahead is imperial, extensive, and extractive in nature. Large "data
farms," like large animal farms, consume large amounts of energy and
water (for cooling), emit toxic gases, and destroy local communities,
leading to numerous protests today. The author argues that this
development model was consciously chosen, despite the clear dangers and
resource demands. This has sparked a heated debate on the nature of
intelligence, pitting the current AI model against the UG (Universal
Grammar) model, which explains the process of human language learning,
as described by Noam Chomsky. Without going into the details of this
otherwise interesting dispute, it is worth emphasizing that, unlike AI,
the UG model requires relatively little input data to significantly
develop competencies. It is economical. Ultimately, Karen Hao is
convinced that the current model of artificial intelligence will not
become a tool for liberation, but rather a mechanism for perpetuating
global inequality. Therefore, this technological shift will have
consequences similar to all previous ones-perhaps not catastrophic, but
certainly dire.
End
Has AI really-as Yampolskiy argues-snapped the leash from corporations?
Perhaps the opposite: its models, while gaining autonomy, are still tied
to specific centers of power, clearly strengthening them. The ruling
classes are captivated by the current promises and technological
possibilities and therefore interested in furthering their development.
Therefore, although most concerned groups demand government regulation,
this can at best numb the pain and dull vigilance, but not solve the
problem as a whole.
Personally, I'm realistically assuming that the probability of the most
negative phenomena associated with AI development is not 100% (estimated
at a few percent to 10-20%), although a large portion of the processes
(primarily in the labor market) I described above cannot be stopped.
Trade unions, fighting for every job and the rights of the unemployed,
will likely play a greater role in delaying and curbing certain negative
trends than the state itself.
At this point, however, I want to analyze the problem solely in terms of
the tension between different levels of intelligence (human and
artificial) and our related ability to control AI from the bottom up.
From this perspective, it's worth considering the actual potential of
humans. Human intelligence quotient (IQ) is not a fixed value. In the
hundred years since the beginning of the 20th century, the average IQ
has increased by 30 points, from 70 to 100 IQ (the so-called Flynn
effect)[19]. This change was not genetic in nature. In addition to the
introduction of universal education, this situation was also influenced
by improved nutrition (primarily an increase in calorie intake),
increased intellectual demands related to the need to use increasingly
advanced tools at work, as well as the development of medicine and the
elimination of certain harmful substances from the environment, such as
leaded gasoline. The upper limit of human IQ is not defined and can
likely reach an average value of around 250 IQ under certain conditions.
Although the problem seems to be that this process - from a societal
perspective - is quite slow, especially compared to the pace of AI
development.
At the same time, humans are equipped not only with cognitive
intelligence (IQ), which accounts for only about one-fifth of our
cognitive abilities, but also with other types of intelligence, such as
emotional intelligence (EQ), without which emotional intelligence (EQ)
cannot be effectively utilized. EQ should not be considered a "soft"
character trait. It is the "hard" ability of the nervous system to
harmonize the functioning of emotional centers with the mental
cortex[20], which, I believe, gives us a certain advantage over the AI
model. At the same time, some studies indicate that high IQ in humans
may be associated with unstable emotional states, which even requires us
to develop abilities related to EQ.
Working on developing IQ and EQ requires individual, even ascetic,
effort. Research on our brains demonstrates that maintaining high brain
efficiency requires not only continuous learning but also physical
activity, a proper diet, abstaining from most stimulants, and a
structured lifestyle, among other things. This is difficult to achieve,
especially in conditions requiring monotonous work. At the same time,
volitional forces are insufficient to develop the individual
intellectual abilities of a larger group of people. As we have seen, the
social and natural environment is equally crucial in the Flynn Effect.
Therefore, we must develop appropriate spheres of social life that
enable people to develop in this direction, and above all, reduce the
hourly workload.
Thus, we have reached the social level and perhaps another advantage
over AI. Society is more than just the sum of individual individuals. By
acting and practicing together, people can achieve a certain synergy.
Thanks to the brain's neuroplasticity and the UG mechanism, they possess
different thinking styles and unique knowledge, and can collectively
improve their competences, though not in all circumstances. Creating
appropriate platforms for socio-intellectual development could
significantly reduce the presumed deficit relative to the developing
artificial intelligence model. Peter Kropotkin noted in his work "Mutual
Aid as a Factor of Development" that "social instinct" is a form of
intelligence that allows individuals, even those with limited
capabilities, to solve complex problems.
What's the point? Research in recent years indicates that the overall
level of both emotional intelligence (EQ) and cognitive intelligence
(IQ) is not only not increasing, but is likely declining[21]. After
spectacular growth, we are slowly degrading in this regard.
Incidentally, this may also be due to the implementation of new
technology, which would indicate yet another threat it poses. Therefore,
if, in the face of these announced changes, instead of putting effort
into truly developing Homo sapiens, we mindlessly rely on what new
technologies offer us, and instead of trusting humans, we trust AI
agents more, we will be embarking on a path that leads directly to a
complete loss of control over our lives.
Jaroslaw Urbanski
www.rozbrat.org
Footnotes:
[1]Roman V. Yampolskiy "AI. Unexplainable, Unpredictable,
Uncontrollable", CRC Press 2024, ebook.
[2]Alvin Toffler, Heidi Toffler, "War and Anti-War. How to Survive at
the Threshold of the 21st Century?", Wydawnictwo Literackie MUZA SA,
Warsaw 1997.
[3]https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/technological-republic-brief-palantir-technologies-ktdde/
[4]https://oko.press/manifest-technofaszyzmu-autorytarne-fantazje-palantira
https://krytykapolityczna.pl/swiat/palantir-manifest-technofaszyzm-ai-zachod-kontrola-demokracja/
[5]https://www.britishchambers.org.uk/news/2026/03/the-growing-threat-to-entry-level-jobs-in-the-age-of-ai/
[6]https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cde5y2x51y8o
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crm1y89vek8o
[7]https://www.deloitte.com/cn/en/about/press-room/deloitte-2024-gen-z-and-millennial-survey.html
[8]https://iop.harvard.edu/press-releases/harvard-youth-poll-reveals-mounting-strain-young-americans-financial-institutional
[9]https://www.cbos.pl/SPISKOM.POL/2024/K_093_24.PDF
[10]https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/2023/07/oecd-employment-outlook-2023_904bcef3.html?appId=aemshell
[11]Maria Jarosz, "Suicides", Warsaw 1997.
[12]Jeremy Rifkin, "The End of Work: The Decline of the Global Labor
Force and the Dawn of the Post-Market Era", Wroclaw 2001, pp. 11 and 24.
[13]https://www.obserwatorfinansowy.pl/bez-kategorii/rotator/rynek-pracy-2030-bez-masowego-bezrobocia-ale-z-ciagla-nauka/
[14]https://www.weforum.org/stories/2017/04/why-its-time-to-rethink-the-meaning-of-work/
[15]Nick Srnicek, Alex Williams, "Inventing the Future. Post-capitalism
and the World Without Work", Torun 2019, pp. 179 and 181.
[16]The Rise of the Government: Total government spending, presented as
a share of gross domestic product (GDP). Data also includes debt
servicing costs.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/historical-gov-spending-gdp?tab=line&country=JPN~USA~DEU~GBR~CHN~POL
[17]Leszek Nowak, Poland's path from socialism. Political writings
1980-1989, Poznan 2011, p. 364.
[18]Karen Hao, "Empire of AI: Dreams and Nightmares in Sam Altman's
OpenAI", New York 2025, ebook.
[19]See Wikipedia.
[20]See: Daniel Goleman, "Emotional Intelligence", Poznan 1997.
[21]See e.g.: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12646932/
https://www.national-geographic.pl/nauka/ludzkosc-glupieje-iq-spada-nawet-o-7-punktow-na-pokolenie/
https://federacja-anarchistyczna.pl/2026/05/15/co-przyniesie-nam-ai-zaglade-bezrobocie-czy-wyzwolenie-od-brzemienia-ciezkiej-pracy/
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