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(en) Spaine, Regeneraton: The Year 2025: The Cycle of Warlords in Late Capitalism By Liza (ca, de, fr, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

Date Mon, 26 Jan 2026 07:57:10 +0200


The year 2025 has perhaps been one of the most turbulent years in global geopolitics, and also in terms of uprisings and fronts of struggle of the international working class. These demonstrate a very clear qualitative and quantitative increase in social conflicts, but also an expansion of the strategic offensive of the imperialist ruling class. This projection into the future, reasonably interpreting the warmongering propaganda, the defiant and aggressive language, and the increase in NATO military spending, with the genocide in Palestine as a backdrop, foreshadows a scenario of war for which capitalism is preparing and encouraging. We have selected some of these conflicts, uprisings, and the repression against social movements that have unfolded across the globe during 2025, and which revolutionary organizations should pay attention to in order to conduct better analyses of the current global situation. The selected events have been those with a massive impact, such as popular mobilizations, strikes, student uprisings, and autonomy projects.

Index
Asia: structural crisis, authoritarianism and the recomposition of the class struggle
Africa: Imperialist reconfiguration, state collapse, and popular resistance
North America: Trump's far right and popular resistance in the US
Latin America and the Caribbean: Permanent social crisis, popular recomposition and fascist threat
Europe: militarization imposed by NATO and consolidation of the far-right agenda
General situation. Faced with imperialist war, Zionist genocide and fascism; an internationalist class response

Asia: Structural Crisis, Authoritarianism, and the Recomposition of the Class Struggle

In 2025, the Asian continent became one of the main arenas for the resurgence of social conflict on a global scale. The region concentrates a decisive and massive share of global capitalist production, strategic supply chains, regional imperialist disputes between the US, China, India, and Russia, and increasing militarization. This context has deepened class contradictions, accelerating processes of impoverishment, state authoritarianism, and popular resistance. These Asian conflicts represent enormous potential for building organized social forces, given the high percentage of the world's population and the growing unionization and social consciousness observed over the last decade.

In Indonesia, this year has been marked by a wave of worker, student, and community protests against the rising cost of living, reactionary labor reforms, and the intensification of the extractive economic model. The mobilizations spread, particularly after the end of August, when a motorcycle taxi driver was killed after being run over by a police vehicle during a crackdown on popular dissent. They reached a massive scale, especially on the islands of Java and Sumatra, with workers' demands being amplified by issues such as the precariousness of the labor market and the privatization of the country's natural resources. Official unions acted as a bulwark against the protests, but grassroots coordination and alliances emerged among industrial workers, peasants, and the urban poor. State repression was significant, highlighting the Indonesian state's role as a guarantor of transnational capital and regional interests.

Riots in Indonesia
In Nepal, massive popular protests erupted in 2025, denouncing the erosion of the political system and widespread structural corruption, as well as material issues such as rampant youth unemployment. Generation Z has brought to light a deep discontent among broad sectors of the population who perceive the parliamentary system resulting from the institutional transition following the Nepalese civil war (1996-2006) as merely a strategic realignment of the elites. While the mobilizations were quite fragmented, they revealed a growing distrust of traditional political parties, and a more radical discourse is taking hold, characterized by the emergence of forms of neighborhood and student self-organization, although these still lack a solid strategic framework.

In Bangladesh, the struggle of garment workers has once again taken center stage in social conflict this year. Strikes for living wages and minimum working conditions are consistently met with massive repression, demonstrating that Asian states are complicit in the disciplining of capitalism and its industrial offshoring, as the neoliberal system identified these countries as a niche for new manufacturing exploitation. The absence of well-established, large-scale, and combative union structures limits the scope of these struggles, but their growth and continuity also signal a sustained resistance against the consequences of exploitation in this region.

Finally, Kurdish autonomy in northern and eastern Syria has continued in a critical situation in 2025, subjected to Turkish military pressure, blackmail from regional powers, and increasing international isolation. Despite this, the experiment continues with a project of partial self-government incorporating elements of direct democracy and community organization, serving as a reference point for revolutionary movements, although a critical assessment of the shortcomings of the democratic confederalism strategy is still needed.

Africa: Imperialist reconfiguration, state collapse, and popular resistance
In 2025, the African continent occupied a central place in the global geopolitical struggle, as a territory of extractivism, a strategic corridor, and a space for the realignment of influence between old and new imperialist powers. The exhaustion of post-colonial models, the structural violence of extractive capitalism, and increasing militarization have deepened processes of open social warfare that have persisted for decades. The continent exhibits both reactionary dynamics and fissures where popular struggles, revolutionary contradictions, and explicit rejections of the imperialist order emerge. It is crucial to support these anti-imperialist struggles without idealizing the statist projects behind them, strengthening internationalist networks, and committing to self-organization to ensure that the break with colonialism does not lead to new forms of domination.

Sudan remains mired in a brutal war between military factions, social cleansing, and the repression of political exiles. These military families represent the conflicting interests of the regional capitalist elite. The civilian population has been forcibly displaced and massacred, with mass killings and the systematic destruction of community life. In this context, revolutionary and anarchist activists-many of them already in exile-have suffered persecution, disappearances, and assassinations, both within the country and along migration routes and in refugee camps, due to their solidarity work. The crushing of the networks that emerged after the 2019 popular uprising confirms that war functions as a mechanism of preemptive counterrevolution against any possibility of popular self-organization.

Riots in Sudan
In Morocco, precarious youth maintain a simmering protest that never fully erupts. 2025 has been marked by intermittent youth protests against unemployment, the high cost of living, and the lack of future prospects, including criticism of the monarchical regime. This regime maintains a tight grip on power, particularly against social and labor activists, and a growing discontent is evident in working-class neighborhoods and urban peripheries. The combination of political authoritarianism, neoliberalism, and alignment with European interests positions the Moroccan regime as a key player in maintaining reactionary stability in North Africa.

In Ethiopia, the Tigai War continues to have repercussions in 2025. While open fighting has decreased compared to recent years, the region remains devastated, and a strong military presence ensures political repression. The conflict has highlighted the authoritarian nature of Ethiopian power and the use of ethnic manipulation as a means of social control. Peasant and working-class populations remain trapped between a powerful state militarism and the dominant regional elites.

In the Sahel, a break with France and a revolutionary ambiguity have emerged. The military uprisings, notably that of Burkina Faso led by the young Ibrahim Traoré, have this year dealt a blow to the old French colonialism disguised as extractivism. Popular rejection of French interests in the region is resounding, evidenced by a clear will for sovereignty in the face of historical plunder. However, despite this break with the imperialist order and massive popular support, state military structures remain, lacking a revolutionary organization of the working class, which is the only guarantor of profound social transformation.

North America: Trump's far right and popular resistance in the US
In 2025, the United States has deepened its internal authoritarian drift while simultaneously developing a direct strategy of external imperialist offensive. Police militarization, the intensification of anti-immigrant policies, and the use of racism as a tool of social control have marked a scenario of internal war against the most vulnerable sectors of the working class. These should not be understood as circumstantial deviations, but rather as structural expressions reinforcing the positions of a capitalism in crisis, whose only way out from now on, we are seeing, will be the strengthening of a repressive police state to maintain its hegemony.

US rallies
ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) campaigns have intensified raids, mass arrests, and deportations, especially against Latino and racialized communities. These xenophobic policies have generated organized responses of community self-defense, mutual support networks, and mass mobilizations against state violence. Simultaneously, repression against the Antifa movement has increased, criminalizing any form of organization against the discourse of the American far right and equating it with a domestic terrorist entity. Movements like Stop Cop City in Atlanta have consolidated themselves as social resistance projects, articulating environmental, anti-racist, and anti-prison struggles against the construction of a massive police training center. Initiatives like the "No Kings" mobilization have challenged the authoritarianism and concentration of power of the Donald Trump administration and reflect a politicization at the heart of imperialism, though still diffuse or diverted by social democratic projects such as the campaign surrounding New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani.

The challenge for the working classes in the US is to overcome the fragmentation of these struggles, strengthen stable class structures, and move towards a revolutionary and effective coordination of struggles that confronts capital and imperialism in a sustained manner beyond reactive cycles of protest.

Latin America and the Caribbean: Permanent social crisis, popular recomposition and fascist threat
In Latin America, the year 2025 has been marked by a combination of persistent economic crisis fueled by external debt, state authoritarianism, and renewed outbreaks of social conflict. The region continues to be a central arena of imperialist struggle, with the United States consistently acting as the aggressor through political, military, and economic interference to contain any process that challenges its hegemony.

March in Ecuador
In Mexico, mobilizations against forced disappearances have once again taken center stage in the social landscape, driven by organized families and autonomous collectives that denounce the structural collusion between the state, capital, and organized crime. These movements are compounded by protests against the 2026 World Cup, denounced as a megaproject of urban dispossession, militarization, and gentrification, as well as growing struggles for housing in major cities. These resistance movements, though also fragmented, express a clear opposition to the neoliberal and extractivist development model.

Peru remains mired in a deep political crisis, with frequent protests against a regime sustained by repression and structural racism toward Indigenous and peasant populations. In Ecuador, the Indigenous movement maintains its role as a central opposition force against the government of businessman Daniel Noboa, confronting policies of austerity, militarization, and territorial plunder. Haiti represents the extreme collapse of state order when capitalism decides to dispense with that entity, leaving a population subjected to the violence of organized crime, poverty, and the constant intervention of foreign powers.

In Argentina, 2025 has been marked by general strikes and labor disputes against Javier Milei's neoliberal policies, in which traditional Peronism maintains a lukewarm stance, hoping to capitalize on its electoral gains after the neoliberal cycle ends. Meanwhile, in Chile, the electoral debacle of the social democracy of Boric and his successor, Jeannette Jara, has opened a political space of defeat exploited by reactionary forces, demonstrating once again that reformism born from Latin American uprisings is a Trojan horse for the extreme right. All of this is part of a rise in regional fascism, fueled by the aggressive anti-immigrant policies of the United States, including its continued pressure and aggression against Venezuela.

The urgent task in Latin America is the construction of an anti-fascist class front, internationalist and autonomous from official party politics and social-democratic deviations, that overcomes both institutional progressivism and authoritarian solutions and that bets on popular organization as the axis of a social transformation.

Europe: militarization imposed by NATO and consolidation of the far-right agenda
Europe entered 2025 already grappling with a profound structural crisis, one that had been brewing for decades, combining widespread impoverishment of the working class, accelerated militarization, and growing social unrest. Strategic subordination to NATO and the interests of US imperialism has transformed the European continent into a logistical and energy rearguard and a testing ground for a policy of war, while the working classes bear the direct cost in the form of inflation, social cuts, and precarious employment. The direct effects of capitalism's authoritarian drift in times of crisis are now being felt.

In Germany, the struggles against the expansion of Tesla and the electric car industry have taken on a strategic character. Protests against the Tesla factory in Brandenburg have brought together environmental, labor, and neighborhood movements against massive water consumption, precarious employment, and the "green" commodification of the energy transition. These are compounded by mobilizations against the resurgence of nuclear energy and industrial militarization, demonstrating how the so-called ecological transition is being used as a new cycle of capitalist accumulation. The response of European states, based on criminalization and surveillance, reveals to the public the limitations of liberal democracy when the structural interests of capital are challenged.

Protests in Germany against Tesla
Serbia experienced intense political polarization in 2025, marked by mass protests against the government, fueled by corruption, authoritarianism, and deteriorating living conditions. Youth and popular sectors led sustained mobilizations, combining social demands with outright rejection of the regime. However, the absence of strong class-based organizations and the clash between reactionary nationalism and pro-European liberalism limit the emancipatory potential of the conflict, which teeters between social revolt and its possible co-optation.

Marches in Serbia
However, it is the war between Russia and Ukraine that continues to define the central axis of European geopolitics. By 2025, the conflict had become chronic, consolidating a war economy that justifies increased military spending and the redirection of public resources toward the arms industry. Economic sanctions, energy dependence, and the disruption of supply chains have deepened a resource crisis that hits the working class particularly hard in Europe. The discourse of defending "European democracy" acts as a tool for demobilizing and silencing political dissent. The conflict, which is playing out on European soil, is in reality an imperialist dispute voraciously consuming resources and serving as a testing ground for the militarization that capitalism needs to confront the looming future crisis, in which Europe plays a secondary role in the 21st century. The main challenge we have in Europe is to rebuild a revolutionary class-based and internationalist policy, capable of articulating the fronts of social, ecological and anti-militarist struggles in a project that confronts capitalism, placing workers' self-organization as the axis of reinforcement against this crisis.

General situation. Faced with imperialist war, Zionist genocide and fascism; an internationalist class response
The global assessment for 2025 confirms that capitalism is undergoing a major organic crisis in which war, authoritarianism, and fascism are not exceptions at all; rather, they are once again positioning themselves as structural tactical tools of global governments. These international conflicts analyzed are not isolated episodes, but rather expressions of the same strategic offensive by the ruling class, spearheaded by the genocide in Palestine. Capitalism is rebuilding its accumulation of repressive power to discipline our class and block any revolutionary horizon, thus creating the ideal conditions for demobilization. But, at the same time, capitalism is also creating the conditions for rupture and division that overlap as possibilities for joint political action by our working class, fully aware of its exploitation. Widespread militarization, the increase in global military spending, and the normalization of war rhetoric herald an imminent scenario of open confrontation, which capital not only anticipates but is actively preparing for.

The genocide perpetrated against Palestine by the Nazi-Zionist state of Israel constitutes the moral and political axis of this international juncture. It is not just another regional conflict; it is a laboratory for neocolonial warfare, ethnic cleansing, and population control in service of imperialist interests. The internationalization of the struggle in support of Palestine during 2025 has acted as a catalyst for grassroots politicization processes, articulating mass mobilizations, boycotts, mutual support networks, and self-organizing practices that have reactivated an internationalist class consciousness, especially among precarious youth. Palestine has become, de facto, the meeting point for struggles against capitalism, racism, and militarism.

In this context, the increased tension with Iran revealed the United States' willingness to redraw the balance of power in the Middle East, signaling its intention to neutralize any actor that escapes its strategic control. Furthermore, the offensive in Latin America-the historical "backyard" of the US-with its reinforcement of political, economic, and military control over the region, as well as the constant pressure on Venezuela, should be understood as further steps necessary to ensure a stable rearguard before an inevitable future confrontation with China, where Taiwan appears as a key element of calculated provocation. These actions being pursued by US imperialism are part of a broader redesign of regional containment in certain areas, directly linked to its offensive projection toward the Asia-Pacific region.

From our revolutionary anarchist perspective, this struggle against capitalism cannot be partial, although the real urgency is to combat the growing fascism that has re-emerged as a capitalist project to destroy workers' organizations and divide our class, ensuring its subjugation. The only viable response is the construction of an internationalist revolutionary political program, based on the organization and independence of the working class, solidarity among struggles, and direct confrontation with capital. 2025 and the years before it make it clear that the future is not fought in institutions, but in our class's capacity to organize and collectively accumulate social force toward a revolutionary rupture with the existing capitalist order. Faced with the fragmentation of struggles, let us fight with class organization, because anarchism is either revolutionary, or it is nothing.

Ángel Malatesta, a member of Liza Madrid.

https://regeneracionlibertaria.org/2025/12/29/ano-2025-el-ciclo-de-los-senores-de-la-guerra-en-el-capitalismo-tardio/
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